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Dancing on Bourbon Street

First, hooray. It's time for the best college sports thing in the World, if not the best sports thing period. It's great to be a part of it after (1) last year's debacle and (2) this year's almost-debacle. I'm so excited I even accidentally referred to a pizza place's delivery area as its "delivery bracket" ten minutes ago.

After CBS made things uncomfortable for a minute and announced the Irish in the very last match-up of the tournament, it was time to scramble up some info on Old Dominion and (if all goes according to plan..please) Baylor. A more detailed scouting report will follow in the unbearable three day-Christmas Eve between today and Thursday, but here are some initial thoughts on half of the New Orleans pod.

Respek is important. Most projections had ND coming in at an 8 seed, and we breathed a sigh of relief when the 8/9 game under Kansas featured (1) Northern Iowa and (2) not ND. The basketball gods seemed to be smiling this St. Patrick's week, and maybe they sort of were: a 6 seed showed the committee's respect for ND's late-season run in the toughest conference and conference tourney in America. Very nice. But the compliment was backhanded. Because...

Old Dominion is good. One could make the argument that ND would've landed a better draw as the 8, 12, or even 13 seed in the South. Maybe not. But the Irish's first-round and potential second-round match-ups are less than desirable. Working quietly in the CAA all year, Old Dominion posted an early-season win at Georgetown and rolled through their conference schedule and tournament. A quick glance at the Monarchs' stat sheet shows a balanced scoring attack, led by senior forward Gerald Lee, who averages about 15 and 5 a game (he was also born in Finland, so that's fun). KenPom rates ODU as his 33rd-overall team (five slots ahead of ND), and a top-20 squad in his nerdtastic defensive efficiency ratings.

Baylor is very good. If we slog it out Thursday, we'll likely have to face the Baylor Bears on Saturday, who have been under-the-radar in the fantastic Big XII all year. Perhaps the scariest team in the region. Three wins over Texas, victories over TAMU, Oklahoma State, Mizzou and Xavier. Its two losses to Kansas State were by 2 and 7 points, and it fell to Kansas by 6 in their only match-up this season. The Bears went 11-5 in the second-best conference in the country, and feature a fearsome threesome: First, there's 6'4'' guard LaceDarius Dunn, who averages 19 points, 5 boards and 2 assists a game. Point guard Tweety Carter scores just under 16 a game and drops 6 dimes per contest. Inside, 6'10'' Michigan transfer Epke Udoh scores 14 a game, pulls down 10 boards, and averages 3.9 blocks per game. 3.9 blocks! I don't know about you, but I'd rather play Duke. Or Nova. Or anyone not named Kansas or Kentucky.

But before we get too excited about Baylor, there's Thursday, and before there's Thursday, there are like 90 hours. Read up and go ahead and gnash those teeth in the comments section.

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It's a testament to the last half decade of ND sports

That I was making peace that the Irish were somehow going to be left out. Tough draw, love the Bears.

http://www.rakesofmallow.com

by CW on Mar 14, 2010 8:55 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

What is so great about Baylor?

I haven’t followed the Big 12 at all this year. I know Texas was way overrated and Kansas is good. I thought everyone else was pretty mediocre. I know Kansas St. is seeded high, but they lost to Mizzou, among others.

OD is from the CAA. Isn’t that where George Mason is from? Didn’t we beat them up pretty good a couple years ago? I am not worried about them.

by djta on Mar 14, 2010 10:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Great seed, tough draw

We were probably over-seeded, but I’ll take it. I was actually sweating it out there the last couple minutes. The very last matchup, CBS? Really?!?

ODU is a good team, but they’ve never won an NCAA game. It’s not like a George Mason, etc. While I’m a little concerned they’re used to playing a slower pace and slogging it out defensively, the Irish showed they’re capable of winning (Pitt) and coming from way behind to have a shot at winning (WVU) in those games of late. While it may be a trendy pick to choose the Monarchs over the Irish, my money’s still on us. We’ve really been on a roll lately.

Baylor has to get past their first-round opponent, first, too. But assuming that occurs, I don’t like ND’s chances against the Bears. They’re the spitting image of the stereotypical tall, athletic teams that give Mike Brey’s squads fits. I had them in my Final Four before the draw, and I may keep them there. That said, if we get hot shooting from downtown NOLA, the long bomb is the great equalizer. We shall see.

Go Irish!!

by ChrisStephenHP on Mar 15, 2010 10:51 AM EDT reply actions  

What's so great about Baylor? Well...

They’re about as good as we are on offense (5th per Pomeroy, we’re 4th), and they do everything well aside from protecting the ball and getting to the free throw line (offensive rebounding, ft%, 2 pt fg %, and 3 pt fg % are all ranked 33rd or better in the country per Pomeroy). They’re decent but unspectacular defensively, coming in 52nd in adjusted ranking.

They’ve also beaten a lot of teams Pomeroy likes. They beat Texas (ranked 17th) three times, split with aTm (ranked 23rd) and beat Mizzou (21st) and Xavier (22nd). Their losses are to KU (away), K St (twice, home and neutral), OK St (away), Colorado (away), and Alabama (neutral); out of that bunch, Colorado is the only one that jumps out.

Apropos of nothing much, they’re not an especially high-paced team; they rank 237 in adjusted pace on Pomeroy, but their results don’t seem to be impacted significantly by pace as they’ve beaten quality opponents at both a high pace (e.g. 73 against UT at home) and a low pace (e.g. 59 against Missouri at home).

by Mr Wednesday on Mar 15, 2010 8:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Oh yeah, Baylor's big too.
  1. in effective height on Pomeroy at +6.2". It seems to be mainly reflected in their offensive rebounding and shot-blocking; they’re mediocre at defensive rebounding.

by Mr Wednesday on Mar 15, 2010 8:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Couldn't have said it better myself

Glad to have you back for March, Wednesday

http://www.rakesofmallow.com

by CW on Mar 16, 2010 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

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