Silly Wolverines, Part One
UPDATE: Brian clarified the two teams he was comparing in the comments, and instead of it being Notre Dame vs. Michigan, it was Michigan against Miami (OH) vs. Michigan against Notre Dame, a team that played a lot better on offense. I'll keep the original post here if only because I still don't think the line would move, despite the gift-wrapped nature of that early lead, but apologies for a bit of an over-reaction.
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You can’t really say this because the “BUT” is enormous, but: Michigan significantly outplayed Notre Dame on a down by down basis but shot itself in the foot every two seconds. Yes, this is sort of like saying “these cookies are delicious except for the arsenic.” Yes, Notre Dame was relieved of the need to outplay Michigan on a down-by-down basis because they were spotted a 21-0 lead and a second-half rainstorm and could be content to run some clock and punt. But I’ll take a team that looks competent except for a few huge glaring errors over one that can’t complete a pass, and if the teams played again next week the line would be further in Michigan’s favor. Massive negative events have a distorting effect on game results out of proportion to their usefulness as predictors.
I'm confused as to what Brian is talking about here. Notre Dame didn't have to throw the ball in the second half because they'd done it so well in the first half, which was enhanced by Michigan's inability to defend Golden Tate and Michael Floyd. Jimmy Clausen's throw to Tate for the touchdown was as perfect of a pass as you can have, and he forced pass interference calls on other solid reads in the first half. There's no point in throwing the ball when you're up two or three scores, there's a monsoon, and your opponent seems content to drop the ball or throw up seriously wounded ducks that you or I could pick off every other play. Notre Dame also showed that, going against a quality defensive line, they could both protect the quarterback and ground out enough yards to be mildly effective in balancing the offense. They also weren't Fey-as-Palin hilarious on special teams.
Yes, Sam McGuffie is very good, but he alone would not put the line further in Michigan's favor. That entire paragraph is utterly confusing to me, as I'm not sure we watched the same game. If this game were played again it probably wouldn't be 35-17, I'd also feel comfortable in Notre Dame winning unless Michigan cleaned up their secondary and the Irish's offensive line took a considerable step back.
Much, much, much more on this game as the week goes on, but that just didn't make any sense to me. So very wrong.
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This seems to be what the overall opinion was by the national media: Michigan completely outplayed Notre Dame, and they would have won without all the turnovers. Did you read Pat Forde’s infuriating article? http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/columns/story?columnist=forde_pat&id=3586177&sportCat=ncf
that's the Pat Forde I know and love
the national media seemed to take one of two sides to this game (I base this on Forde’s article and the Saunders/James/Flutie desk combo)
a) Notre Dame still sucks – look at how badly Michigan outplayed them (Forde/Saunders)
b) ZOMG! Notre Dame is back baby! (Flutie/James)
I don’t know whether I’m more shocked that Doug Flutie came to the latter conclusion or that I haven’t heard any middle ground from the MSM. All I know is we’re better than last year, and that Michigan is way worse. Any other conclusions from that game are tenuous at best.
by danmastaflex on Sep 15, 2008 8:35 PM EDT up reply actions
The team that “couldn’t complete a forward pass” was Michigan last week, not ND.
by Brian @ MGoBlog on Sep 15, 2008 6:24 PM EDT reply actions
i read the writeup
because i’m a big fan of MGoBlog. i don’t post on there, but i like reading the postgame stuff (especially the classic “Kittens” meltdown after App. St.).
i think even the most arden UM homers would admit that the 21 points weren’t “gift-wrapped.” Last year’s ND team, or any team from the Willingham era would’ve turned those three first quarter turnovers into 0-3 points (interception/fumble, missed FG, FG – in some combination). that was the most underrated storyline of the game: Notre Dame turning Michigan mistakes into touchdowns instead of field goals. take those away and it’s an entirely different game.
by SBakerTheTouchdownMaker on Sep 15, 2008 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions
The reason I mentioned the 21-0 lead was because it was a big cushion that allowed ND to play the rest of the game close to the vest and thereby depressed their yardage numbers; that sentence is kind of acknowledging and argument against my large point.
Conceded that Notre Dame did not get handed those touchdowns entirely and that last year’s ND team may have found a way to screw it up; I do think if you add up all the unforced/terrible Michigan miscues in the game you get something close to 21 points (Threet fumble, Minor fumble, Shaw fumble, Brown whiff on Tate) in terms of field position value.
by Brian @ MGoBlog on Sep 16, 2008 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions
jebus: that sentence is kind of acknowledging an argument against my larger point.
by Brian @ MGoBlog on Sep 16, 2008 12:06 AM EDT up reply actions
I took it to be you were comparing ND to Michigan, not Week Two Michigan vs. Week Three Michigan. In that case, redacted.
http://www.rakesofmallow.com
by CW on Sep 15, 2008 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions

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